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NATIONAL TECHNICAL INFORMATION MESSAGE 94-17 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HEADQUARTERS 400 PM EDT TUE JUNE 24 1994 TO: ALL NWS PRODUCT USERS FROM: MARY C. NEWTON ACTING CHIEF, SERVICES DEVELOPMENT BRANCH SUBJECT: EXPERIMENTAL ULTRAVIOLET INDEX (UVI) FORECASTS On June 28, 1994, at approximately 1800 UTC, the National Weather Service's (NWS) Climate Analysis Center, at the request of the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) and in coordination with the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), will begin the issuance of experimental UVI forecasts. The forecasts will be issued once a day and will predict, up to 30 hours in advance, the maximum exposure to ultraviolet radiation from the sun's rays during the peak hour of sunlight. The forecasts will be provided for a limited number of cities during the experimental/evaluation period which will end during Spring 1995. The experimental UVI is a forecast of ultraviolet irradiance at the surface integrated over the one-hour period around noon. The forecasts consists of an Index number that is categorized by the EPA into one of 5 exposure levels: 0 - 2 (Minimal); 3 to 4 (Low); 5 to 6 (Moderate); 7 to 9 (High); 10+ (Very High). The forecasts include consideration for stratospheric ozone changes and clouds, but do not explicitly include haze or local pollution effects. The effects of cloudiness are accounted for by using the Model Output Statistics (MOS) cloud probability forecasts from the Nested Grid Model. The UVI experimental forecasts produced for Honolulu, Hawaii and San Juan, Puerto Rico will NOT contain the effects of clouds, initially. Plans are to include them before the completion of the experiment. The UVI forecasts will have an AFOS identifier of NMCUVICAC. It is a national bit product, so, for AFOS users, the "CCC" will be your local node identifier (rather than NMC). The World Meteorological Organization (WMO) identifier for the UVI will be AEUS41 KWBC. Three educational information messages on UVI forecasts were disseminated today under the AFOS identifier WSHPNSWSH (WMO header ADMN81 KWBC. Additional materials that contain charts and graphics which cannot be dispatched electronically will be sent by U.S. mail. All questions concerning the UVI may be directed to the NWS Office of Public Affairs at (301) 713-0622.
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