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343 NOUS41 KWBC 182131 PNSWSH PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT...SERVICE CHANGE NOTICE 02-51 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HEADQUARTERS WASHINGTON DC 530 PM EDT WED SEP 18 2002 TO: NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE /NWS/ EMPLOYEES...NOAAPORT SUBSCRIBERS...FAMILY OF SERVICES /FOS/ SUBSCRIBERS...NOAA WEATHER WIRE SERVICE SUBSCRIBERS /NWWS/....EMERGENCY MANAGERS WEATHER INFORMATION NETWORK /EMWIN/ USERS...AND OTHER NWS CUSTOMERS FROM: ROBERT E. LIVEZEY CHIEF...CLIMATE SERVICES DIVISION SUBJECT: ISSUANCE OF EL NINO/SOUTHERN OSCILLATION /ENSO/ DIAGNOSTIC DISCUSSION ON NOAAPORT...FOS...NWWS...AND EMWIN...EFFECTIVE OCTOBER 10 2002 EFFECTIVE OCTOBER 10 2002...THE NWS CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER /CPC/ WILL ISSUE AN EL NINO/SOUTHERN OSCILLATION /ENSO/ DIAGNOSTIC DISCUSSION ON THE FIRST OR SECOND THURSDAY OF EACH MONTH ON NOAAPORT...FAMILY OF SERVICES /FOS/...NOAA WEATHER WIRE SERVICE /NWWS/... AND EMERGENCY MANAGERS WEATHER INFORMATION NETWORK /EMWIN/. CPC WILL ISSUE THE ENSO DISCUSSION AROUND 10:00 A.M. EASTERN LOCAL TIME. THE ISSUANCE TIME MAY BE A FEW HOURS LATER IF IT IS PART OF A CLIMATE OUTLOOK PRESS CONFERENCE. CPC WILL ISSUE THE FOLLOWING ENSO DISCUSSION ON NOVEMBER 7. CPC WILL ISSUE ENSO OUTLOOK DISCUSSIONS ONE OR TWO WEEKS BEFORE THEIR ONE-MONTH AND THREE-MONTH OUTLOOKS SINCE CLIMATE OUTLOOK TECHNIQUES OFTEN RELY SIGNIFICANTLY UPON ENSO. CPC WILL ISSUE THE DISCUSSION USING THE FOLLOWING IDENTIFIERS: WMO HEADING - FXUS24 KWNC AWIPS ID - PMDENS THE DISCUSSION HAS ALREADY BEEN AVAILABLE FOR SOME TIME ON THE CPC WEB SITE AT /USE LOWER CASE LETTERS/: HTTP://WWW.CPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV THE ENSO DISCUSSION ADDRESSES THE CURRENT OCEANIC AND ATMOSPHERIC CONDITIONS IN THE PACIFIC AND IMPLICATIONS FOR THE SEASONAL CLIMATE OUTLOOK FOR THE FOLLOWING ONE TO THREE SEASONS. THEY INCLUDE ANALYSIS OF CURRENT AND RECENT PATTERNS IN SURFACE AND SUBSURFACE WATER TEMPERATURE ANOMALIES IN THE TROPICAL PACIFIC...OTHER RELATED ANALYSES SUCH AS RAINFALL...OUTGOING LONG WAVE RADIATION...ETC. ...INFLUENCING FACTORS SUCH AS MADDEN JULIAN OSCILLATIONS...KELVIN WAVES...ETC. ...AND STATISTICAL AND COUPLED MODEL PREDICTIONS. FIGURES MENTIONED IN THE DISCUSSION ARE AVAILABLE ON THE CPC WEB SITE. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION...CONTACT VERNON KOUSKY CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER - W/NP52 5200 AUTH RD. CAMP SPRINGS MD 20746-4304 PHONE: 301-763-8000 EXT 7539 E-MAIL: VERNON.KOUSKY@xxxxxxxx THIS NOTICE AND OTHER SERVICE CHANGE NOTICES CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT /USE LOWER CASE LETTERS/: HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OM/NOTIF.HTM $$ END NNNN ---------- End Forwarded Message ----------
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